No Kilcullen metrics for this? (A tale of two convoys)
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"the purpose of a liberal education is to develop within the individual a disciplined and informed mind that cannot be overwhelmed."
The GOP's Unpaid GWOT Costs | |
---|---|
Current Costs | |
[tbd] | : Med. & Disability |
[java not enabled] | : Appropriated to date |
$1,500,000,000 | : Inducements (Pakistan) |
[third-party] | : Iraqi-Med&Dis |
[intangible] | : Loss of Life |
[java not enabled] | : Current Interest |
Avoided Costs | |
$8,250,000,000 | : End No-Fly Zone |
[intangible] | : Troops on Saudi Soil |
[intangible] | : Saddam & Sons Brutalities |
[java not enabled] | : Running Total |
Projected and Exit Costs | |
$349,800,000,000 | : Med. & Disability |
$5,000,000,000 | : Upgrade the VA |
$464,494,426,551 | : 24-yrs 5% Interest |
$331,966,000,000 | : 30K Troops by 2010 |
[tbd] | : Demobilization |
$226,708,000,000 | : Interest: 30K, Demob |
[tbd] | : Requip Military |
Quagmire Costs | |
[circa 2 Million lives / 10%] | : Loss of Life - Civil War |
[circa 4 Million lives / 20%] | : Loss of Life - Regional War |
[tbd] | : Oil Impact - Regional War |
[scenario cost: tbd] | : Perceived Reputation Loss |
[scenario cost: tbd] | : Re-engagement, if necc |
$1,377,968,426,551 | : Total Projected |
Imputed Costs - US Only | |
$4,000,000,000 | : Odius Debt Relief |
$170,862,000,000 | : Oil Price To Date |
$287,489,000,000 | : Oil 5yr Impact |
[tbd] | : Oil GDP Potential |
[tbd] | : Net Macro |
Non US | |
[tbd] | : Iraqi Refugee GDP Loss |
$462,351,000,000 | : Total Imputed |
[java not enabled] | : Running Total |
[java not enabled] | : Per Capita |
[java not enabled] | : Per Household-a |
[java not enabled] | : Per Household-b |
[tbd] | : Per Capita Iraqis |
Costs - Non-US | |
[java not enabled] | : UK Appropriated |
[tbd] | : NATO |
$29,727,000,000 | : Odius Debt Relief |
notes: Appropriated-to-date as hyperlinked - poor DOD accounting makes incremental costs impossible; interest is the discount of perpetual interest payments on appropriated amounts only, net of no-fly; inducements are direct aid and trade approximations as hyperlinked; no-fly costs at 3x 1992-1995 run rate to be conservative; Med & Disability are "low" estimates as referenced; upgrade the VA is guesstimate; 30K Troop Scenario from Jan 2007 CBO estimate, discounted; oil 'price costs' are the sum of all years changes in the cost of imported oil from a baseline $25/bbl and should be thought of as a floor or lower-bound estimate for total oil impact costs, only 33% of the price rise is assumed to apply to GWOT, producing a conservative estimate, projections are based on $55/bbl oil; Statistical Summary of America's Major Wars |
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